Current Record

RECORD: UP 33 UNITS and overall record of (67-53) 55.8%



Sunday, September 30, 2012

Monday Soccer Plays


Getafe vs. Mallorca: Well, after winning 11 units this weekend, we turn our attention to a little soccer betting. We like to bet real football on weekends, and a little futbal on weekdays. We turn our focus to a Spanish league BBVA match up between Getafe vs. Mallorca. A quick look at the tables doesn’t tell the real stories of these teams. Getafe is 1-1-3, but they have faced some huge challenges early. In their first game they played Sevilla, a top 5 BBVA team, even on the road, but lost 2-1. They then proceeded to beat Real Madrid 2-1 at home, and then tied a slightly below average Deportivo team on the road, before getting pounded at Barcelona, and losing a evenly played game at #13 Celta. Simply put, Getafe has played the strong schedule, but if they had been given a bounce or two, could be 2-2-1. Mallorca on the other hand has yet to play Barca or either Madrid so far this season. To top that off, they have played an extremely weak schedule, in which they almost lost, at home, to the winless boys from Espanyols, they then proceeded to tie a top tier team at Malaga. It should be noted though that they lost the possession battle 66-34. They then beat a solid Real-Sociedad team at home; Sociedad is a notoriously bad away team though, going 0-3-0 on the road this season. They then lost the possession battle 60-40 away in a tie against current #18 Osasuna, and last game, they won the game, yet lost possession 70-30 at home against mighty top tier Valencia. The possession numbers don’t lie, and they prove that Mallorca shouldn’t be the #4 team in the BBVA standings right now. They have been outplayed every game, and have yet to even come close to winning a possession battle. As some say, 90% of soccer is possession, and Getafe should prove me true tomorrow. 2 UNITS TO WIN 2.5 UNITS ON GETFAE 1X2.

There is another game from a big futbal division, as EPL features West Ham taking on QPR. West Ham is 2-2-1 so far, going 0-1-1 on the road. Although West Ham has had a easy schedule so far, they still are #8 in the tables, with 1 less game played than all other teams. QPR on the other hand has faced 3 top 5 teams in Chelsea, Man City, and Tottenham. I think this game will end in a 0-0 draw. West Ham has yet to score a goal on the road, even at #19 Norwich they couldn’t find the back of the net, in fact Norwich dominated them 20 shots to 9, and struggled to get a mere 7 shots at Swansea. To make things weirder, West Ham has out shot their opponent every time this year while playing at home, which shows they clearly have problems on the road. QPR was able to draw and play Chelsea equal 0-0 at home, and they should have gotten a much closer result at home against Swansea, where Swansea scored 5 goals on 12 shots. QPR has yet to score at home, West Ham has yet to score on the road, 0-0 draw is my prediction. ½ UNIT on DRAW TO WIN 1.5 UNITS AND 3 UNITS ON UNDER 2.5. 

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