DS UPDATE
DS Update 10/20/12
Back is against the wall, it looks like I will lose in golf, not because my team was bad, but my opponent put up nearly the perfect team. I have $4.85 remaining, and I need a W in CFB....BADLY. I am going with a big risk right now, joining a 2$ league with 20 entrants. I need a win here to get a little ammo for NFL. Here is my CFB team for tomorrow. Hopefully a W.
QB- Matt Barkley-USC-$13,413: Time for him to wake up. He has a extremely cheap price tag, and his USC Trojan's are 40.5 favorite against Colorado tomorrow. I am going to trust the bookies on this one, Matt should put up scary numbers against a awful Colorado team. Nice price doesn't hurt.
QB-Landry Jones-OU-$12,764: Crazy last game at Texas, KU is one of the worst D's in division 1. Very underrated right now, and he should explode on Kansas tomorrow.
RB- Eddie Lacy-BAMA-$11,257: Coming off a huge game, and Tennessee has no D to speak of.
RB-Todd Gurley-GU-$9,047: Was running like a top 5 back, until SC shut him up. He is going under the radar, and Kentucky has been giving up points like crazy. Gurley is my favorite play this week, perfect combo of price, potential, as well as being under the radar.
RB-Senorise Perry-LOU-$10,888: 2 Huge recent weeks, scored 35 points last week. USF can't stop the run, and are slowly going down hill. Perry is going to score 3 TDs this week, and I think he is a great price.
WR-Kenny Stills-OU-$9,219: Good player who gets a ton of catches. Kansas also sucks, Landry is going to have a huge game, and I think Stills will be a huge beneficiary. Great price, like the chances of possible 10 catches.
WR- Sammy Watkins-CLEM-$8,409: VT gives up a lot of big plays, and Watkins price has dipped way to low. He was out of shape, but I think the BYE week will help him a lot this upcoming week. The price is way to low, and I doubt he will be owned by very many people, especially since the recent BYE week.
TE-Zach Ertz-STAN-$6,371: Ertz is red hot right now, he has been putting up huge numbers, and CAL has no defence at all. Amazing price right now for a solid TE.
FLEX-Cordarrelle Patterson-TENN-$7,845: I think Tennessee will score a lot on Bama, and Bray will heavily rely on Patterson, causing him to have a huge game. He is a OW, WR/RB. Mostly in love with the price.
FLEX- Robert Woods-USC-$10,264: Barkley having a huge game will result in Woods having a huge game. Hopefully USC wins big tomorrow.
QB- Matt Barkley-USC-$13,413: Time for him to wake up. He has a extremely cheap price tag, and his USC Trojan's are 40.5 favorite against Colorado tomorrow. I am going to trust the bookies on this one, Matt should put up scary numbers against a awful Colorado team. Nice price doesn't hurt.
QB-Landry Jones-OU-$12,764: Crazy last game at Texas, KU is one of the worst D's in division 1. Very underrated right now, and he should explode on Kansas tomorrow.
RB- Eddie Lacy-BAMA-$11,257: Coming off a huge game, and Tennessee has no D to speak of.
RB-Todd Gurley-GU-$9,047: Was running like a top 5 back, until SC shut him up. He is going under the radar, and Kentucky has been giving up points like crazy. Gurley is my favorite play this week, perfect combo of price, potential, as well as being under the radar.
RB-Senorise Perry-LOU-$10,888: 2 Huge recent weeks, scored 35 points last week. USF can't stop the run, and are slowly going down hill. Perry is going to score 3 TDs this week, and I think he is a great price.
WR-Kenny Stills-OU-$9,219: Good player who gets a ton of catches. Kansas also sucks, Landry is going to have a huge game, and I think Stills will be a huge beneficiary. Great price, like the chances of possible 10 catches.
WR- Sammy Watkins-CLEM-$8,409: VT gives up a lot of big plays, and Watkins price has dipped way to low. He was out of shape, but I think the BYE week will help him a lot this upcoming week. The price is way to low, and I doubt he will be owned by very many people, especially since the recent BYE week.
TE-Zach Ertz-STAN-$6,371: Ertz is red hot right now, he has been putting up huge numbers, and CAL has no defence at all. Amazing price right now for a solid TE.
FLEX-Cordarrelle Patterson-TENN-$7,845: I think Tennessee will score a lot on Bama, and Bray will heavily rely on Patterson, causing him to have a huge game. He is a OW, WR/RB. Mostly in love with the price.
FLEX- Robert Woods-USC-$10,264: Barkley having a huge game will result in Woods having a huge game. Hopefully USC wins big tomorrow.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DS Update
I have no idea what they are going to do about the games being postponed in baseball. I am winning my current contest, but I don't know if they will continue it until tomorrow, or give me the W tonight. Either way I would say I am a heavy favorite to start out with a +8.50 profit. I will mark today's earnings as a 0, because IDK what they are going to do. I am now going to try and concur some golf. My strategy for golf is simple, go on a betting website, and compare odds to prices. If someone is considered the 5th favorite to win the tournament on a sports betting site, and 13th rated on Draft Street, I will grab him as a good value.
Contest Joined: $5 HU Golf ( Scoring is based on final place in tournament.)
-Playing golf with a ton of people like in the $2 game with 220 people makes it all about luck. I think HU gives me a significant edge because I know I am the probable favorite going in, especially in a $5 game, rather than a $500 game.
RULES: Pick 6 Golfers under cap of, 100,00.
1. Ben Curtis-$18,421- 2 top 25s in a row, great player, and my sports book agrees that he is a good value.
2. Michael Thompson-$16,697- Great golfer, listed at 36/1, top 10 for 19th total price. Also extremely streaky, could win this, I like him to win this.
3. Harris English- $15,217- Same as above, good value per price.
4. DA Points-$13, 251- Coming off a great week, certainly a hit or miss guy, who is only 9/20 in making cuts, but I think reward out weighs the risk...see what I did there.
5. Ken Duke- $14,608- Offset DA here, has the 7th most cuts made, and cost has him as the 30th most expensive player. He probably won't win, but a cut would be nice.
6. Bud Cauley- $21,842- 5 Cuts in a row, for a price much less than elites.
Amount remaining- $4.85
Amount Pending- 10$
Amount won yesterday- 0$
Amount won this week-0$
Account value-$14.85
Contest Joined: $5 HU Golf ( Scoring is based on final place in tournament.)
-Playing golf with a ton of people like in the $2 game with 220 people makes it all about luck. I think HU gives me a significant edge because I know I am the probable favorite going in, especially in a $5 game, rather than a $500 game.
RULES: Pick 6 Golfers under cap of, 100,00.
1. Ben Curtis-$18,421- 2 top 25s in a row, great player, and my sports book agrees that he is a good value.
2. Michael Thompson-$16,697- Great golfer, listed at 36/1, top 10 for 19th total price. Also extremely streaky, could win this, I like him to win this.
3. Harris English- $15,217- Same as above, good value per price.
4. DA Points-$13, 251- Coming off a great week, certainly a hit or miss guy, who is only 9/20 in making cuts, but I think reward out weighs the risk...see what I did there.
5. Ken Duke- $14,608- Offset DA here, has the 7th most cuts made, and cost has him as the 30th most expensive player. He probably won't win, but a cut would be nice.
6. Bud Cauley- $21,842- 5 Cuts in a row, for a price much less than elites.
Amount remaining- $4.85
Amount Pending- 10$
Amount won yesterday- 0$
Amount won this week-0$
Account value-$14.85
--------------______________________________________------____________
Draft Street Road to 15K
This is a new column I am writing to show you
that gambling is not luck, and almost anyone can be successful with the right
money management. I am putting $15 in Draft Street, and I am going to plan to
turn it in to 15K. Draft Street is a daily fantasy sports site, in which fantasy
games are decided within the course of a week or even a day, rather than an
entire season. This obviously allows a crazy profit to be made. I will give
detailed analysis of players I have chosen, as well as strategies used to obtain
the largest profit possible. If Draft Street sounds like something interesting
to you, check out the link at the bottom of the page (won't let me put it up
here.) Draft Street is also Legal in the USA, as it is
considered a game of skill not luck. (WHY NOT
POKKKKKEEEEERRRRRR!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)
Leagues joined: ($5 MLB Game, 3 person, Winner Gets $13.50)
-I like starting in small games like these. The most amount of skill is showed in the smallest groups. Rather than spending 33% of my bankroll on the same kind of game, only with 100 people, I am going to try and slowly build it up. These games are most important, because they set the basis for future. I will be forced to implement 2 extremely different strategies depending on the result of this game.
Budget 100K
P- Max Scherzer-Det-$18,010: This may sound extremely basic, but the Yankees have yet to score in the last 2 games (as of now) and Scherzer is coming off a great last start, in which he gave up 0 Runs 5.1 innings pitched, and 8 strike outs. However, in a scoring system that labels a K almost equal to a IP, I think that it is important to get a K based pitcher. Scherzer has a higher amount of K's than IP at home, and I think that makes him the play, compared to Kyle Lohse, who for a similar price, might go 2 more IP than Schezer, but I doubt unless Scherzer pitches less than 4 innings, Lohse will not be able to catch him because he typically pitches for contact. CC in comparison might put up numbers better than Max, but he will cost me 5% more of my budget, but for similar stats, I feel Schezer is the best available pick, mostly due to the large K/IP %.
RP- Jason Motte-STL-$3,906: I love Motte for this spot. Rather than taking another SP, I elected for a much cheaper elective in Motte. I like Motte mostly because he has yet to play in 3 days, meaning his arm should be ready to go, and should be pitching in any situation. If he can just even get a save, Motte will be getting about 4 points for 4% of my budget. That would nearly guarantee me a win if I can put up 100 points. Although he doesn't have potential for a big game, he is the best value per percentage, as long as he doesn't put up a goose egg.
C-Gerald Laird-DET-5,671: You may ask yourself, who the hell is Gerald Laird, and why are you picking him while he against CC Sabathia. I'll tell you why, Gerald Laird has 24 AB against CC Sabathia, he has 10 hits, a double, as well as a HR. He also has earned 4 walks against CC, and CC only has a 4.02 ERA away from home. Laird is the clear play in a weak catcher category.
1B-Prince Fielder-DET-7,966: A great price for one of the elite hitters in the MLB. Fielder has a .337 average at home, as well as 18 HR, compared to 12 on the road. Fielder is also hitting .364 in his career against CC. Not to bad, especially for the great price, as well as the great splits.
2B-Ryan Theriot-SFG-7,557: Ryan is hitting 12-22 against Lohse in his career, with 2 doubles and 2 triples. He clearly has Lohse's number. He is also coming in after a solid 4 points on the 15th, and he hits better on the road. Good pick here, but kind of a high price to pay.
3B-Miguel Cabrera-DET-10,243: Miguel is the best hitter in the MLB, and hits 10 BA points better at home than away. Even though Miggy typically struggles against lefties, he is 10-26 against CC, and has 2 HR and 2 doubles. Miggy is the only viable option, and though the price is expensive, he should certainly put up some points no matter what.
SS-Brandon Crawford-SFG-6,012: He is the starter is SFG, Lohse is not a great pitcher, and all the other SS are struggling other than Kozma, but he costs a crazy 9,108. Crawford is the clear, easy play.
OF-Andy Dirks-DET-7,199: Hitting well of late, and he kills CC. Price is the main reason.
OF-Curtis Granderson-NYY-8,750: Might be strange to pick an opposing hitter, but Grandy is the only NYY that hits Max well, he is 4-12 with a HR. I feel that he is worth the cheep price to grab an elite hitter.
OF-Carlos Beltran-STL-12,871: Killing the ball of late, putting up 4.75,8.5 and 9.5 points in last 3 games, and has .389 average, and 4 extra base hits against Cain. He is pricey, but I have money to spend at this point, and he is that good.
U- Angel Pagan-SFG-10,573: At this point price doesn't matter. All I wanted was the hottest hitter right now. That is Angel Pagan. Bad price but I feel I have the best at every position, so I my as well pick someone who is maybe a little overpriced, but who has put up huge numbers as of late.
Leagues joined: ($5 MLB Game, 3 person, Winner Gets $13.50)
-I like starting in small games like these. The most amount of skill is showed in the smallest groups. Rather than spending 33% of my bankroll on the same kind of game, only with 100 people, I am going to try and slowly build it up. These games are most important, because they set the basis for future. I will be forced to implement 2 extremely different strategies depending on the result of this game.
Budget 100K
P- Max Scherzer-Det-$18,010: This may sound extremely basic, but the Yankees have yet to score in the last 2 games (as of now) and Scherzer is coming off a great last start, in which he gave up 0 Runs 5.1 innings pitched, and 8 strike outs. However, in a scoring system that labels a K almost equal to a IP, I think that it is important to get a K based pitcher. Scherzer has a higher amount of K's than IP at home, and I think that makes him the play, compared to Kyle Lohse, who for a similar price, might go 2 more IP than Schezer, but I doubt unless Scherzer pitches less than 4 innings, Lohse will not be able to catch him because he typically pitches for contact. CC in comparison might put up numbers better than Max, but he will cost me 5% more of my budget, but for similar stats, I feel Schezer is the best available pick, mostly due to the large K/IP %.
RP- Jason Motte-STL-$3,906: I love Motte for this spot. Rather than taking another SP, I elected for a much cheaper elective in Motte. I like Motte mostly because he has yet to play in 3 days, meaning his arm should be ready to go, and should be pitching in any situation. If he can just even get a save, Motte will be getting about 4 points for 4% of my budget. That would nearly guarantee me a win if I can put up 100 points. Although he doesn't have potential for a big game, he is the best value per percentage, as long as he doesn't put up a goose egg.
C-Gerald Laird-DET-5,671: You may ask yourself, who the hell is Gerald Laird, and why are you picking him while he against CC Sabathia. I'll tell you why, Gerald Laird has 24 AB against CC Sabathia, he has 10 hits, a double, as well as a HR. He also has earned 4 walks against CC, and CC only has a 4.02 ERA away from home. Laird is the clear play in a weak catcher category.
1B-Prince Fielder-DET-7,966: A great price for one of the elite hitters in the MLB. Fielder has a .337 average at home, as well as 18 HR, compared to 12 on the road. Fielder is also hitting .364 in his career against CC. Not to bad, especially for the great price, as well as the great splits.
2B-Ryan Theriot-SFG-7,557: Ryan is hitting 12-22 against Lohse in his career, with 2 doubles and 2 triples. He clearly has Lohse's number. He is also coming in after a solid 4 points on the 15th, and he hits better on the road. Good pick here, but kind of a high price to pay.
3B-Miguel Cabrera-DET-10,243: Miguel is the best hitter in the MLB, and hits 10 BA points better at home than away. Even though Miggy typically struggles against lefties, he is 10-26 against CC, and has 2 HR and 2 doubles. Miggy is the only viable option, and though the price is expensive, he should certainly put up some points no matter what.
SS-Brandon Crawford-SFG-6,012: He is the starter is SFG, Lohse is not a great pitcher, and all the other SS are struggling other than Kozma, but he costs a crazy 9,108. Crawford is the clear, easy play.
OF-Andy Dirks-DET-7,199: Hitting well of late, and he kills CC. Price is the main reason.
OF-Curtis Granderson-NYY-8,750: Might be strange to pick an opposing hitter, but Grandy is the only NYY that hits Max well, he is 4-12 with a HR. I feel that he is worth the cheep price to grab an elite hitter.
OF-Carlos Beltran-STL-12,871: Killing the ball of late, putting up 4.75,8.5 and 9.5 points in last 3 games, and has .389 average, and 4 extra base hits against Cain. He is pricey, but I have money to spend at this point, and he is that good.
U- Angel Pagan-SFG-10,573: At this point price doesn't matter. All I wanted was the hottest hitter right now. That is Angel Pagan. Bad price but I feel I have the best at every position, so I my as well pick someone who is maybe a little overpriced, but who has put up huge numbers as of late.
No comments:
Post a Comment