NCAAF Week 9 Picks
We're going to do a pick'em style this week
Purdue vs. Minnesota U: The Pick: Purdue -2.5 for 3 Units
FSU vs. Duke: The Pick: Duke +27.5 for 1 Unit
MSU vs. Wisconsin: The Pick: MSU +5.5 for 3 Units
Florida vs. Georgia: The Pick: Georgia +6.5 for 2 Units; Over 44.5 for 1 Unit
USC vs. Arizona: The Pick: USC -5.5 for 0.5 Units
Ohio St. vs. Penn St.: The Pick: Ohio St -1 for 3 Units
Texas Tech vs KSU: The Pick: Texas Tech +7 for 1 Unit
TCU vs. Oklahoma St.: TCU +7 for 1 Unit
Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma: Oklahoma -12.5 for 1 Unit
Michigan vs. Nebraska: This one is going to be a great game for all of you who don't have any interest in Notre Dame football.....however look elsewhere for a pick in this one....line is Nebraska -1, and the oddsmakers got it exactly right. True Coin toss
Purdue vs. Minnesota U: The Pick: Purdue -2.5 for 3 Units
FSU vs. Duke: The Pick: Duke +27.5 for 1 Unit
MSU vs. Wisconsin: The Pick: MSU +5.5 for 3 Units
Florida vs. Georgia: The Pick: Georgia +6.5 for 2 Units; Over 44.5 for 1 Unit
USC vs. Arizona: The Pick: USC -5.5 for 0.5 Units
Ohio St. vs. Penn St.: The Pick: Ohio St -1 for 3 Units
Texas Tech vs KSU: The Pick: Texas Tech +7 for 1 Unit
TCU vs. Oklahoma St.: TCU +7 for 1 Unit
Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma: Oklahoma -12.5 for 1 Unit
Michigan vs. Nebraska: This one is going to be a great game for all of you who don't have any interest in Notre Dame football.....however look elsewhere for a pick in this one....line is Nebraska -1, and the oddsmakers got it exactly right. True Coin toss
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College Football Week 8 Picks
Alabama @ Tennessee: 65% of public are currently on Bama right now, yet the line has yet to move. That obviously raises a red flag, but as Oregon proved Thursday, sometimes red flags mean shit (ASU SUCKS). I have a hard time betting against Bama this season, because they are just too good. Instead, I will opt for the over. Tennessee has questionable the worst D in the SEC, and have given up 37,51,41 in their 3 games in the SEC so far. The good news is they have scored 31,44,20 in those respective games. Bama meanwhile has scored 42,33,52 in their 3 SEC games so far. Bama has only given up 24 points in the SEC….But that was against Arkansas without Tyler Wilson, an average Ole Miss team, and an offensively challenged Mizzu team. This time, they'll have to do it against Tennessee's star QB Tyler Bray. Tennessee has yet to have a game go under 50 so far this year, and I don’t think they will buck the trend this week. O 50.5 for 2 UNITS.
SC @ Florida: Sorry, but I am unable to find a great pick in this one. They both play very similar styles of football, and they both are very well coached. SC hasn’t lost 2 games in a row since 2009, but with Lattimore possibly missing, I think a small edge goes to Florida. SC’s line I also think will struggle against a tough Florida pass rush. Florida -3.5 for 1 UNIT.
Kansas St @ West Virginia: U is the play here. People forget that WV actually defends the run very well, in their last 3 games, WV has given up 49,45,and 63 points, yet they have yet to give up more than 175 rushing yards in those games. KSU is 119th in the country in passing, and clearly will not be able to put up 500 yards passing, like the last 3 QB have been able to put up on WV. I am looking for a score similar to when KSU went to Oklahoma, and won 24-19. This should be an easy under 72, no way KSU runs for over 500 yards to put this game around 72. U 72 for 3 UNITS,.
LSU @ Texas A&M: 62% of public is on LSU. LSU although can’t play on the road, as showed by their close 12-10 win @ Auburn, and their 6-14 loss @ Florida. A&M is battle tested, and has played 4 games on the road already. They also lost by 3 at home against Florida early this year, in a game they defiantly should have won. I think A&M is going very quietly under the radar right now, but they have possible the best offense in CFB. The public is too high on LSU to even consider taking them right now, wining at home against SC doesn’t make them the best team around. Texas A&M +3.5 for 2 UNITS.
Utah @ Oregon St: Oregon St. is currently undefeated, and as a result, the public will overrate them. 65% of bettors are currently on Oregon St. Utah, despite their 2-4 record, are actually a top 40 team in my opinion. They lost to USC at home by 10, almost won @ UCLA, beat a good BYU team at home, and lost @ Utah St in OT. They have covered the 10-point spread in every game this year, except at ASU. Oregon St also lives and dies by the pass, they are 8th in the nation in passing, but a little known fact is that Sean Mannion, their starting QB for 4 games is injured. That means that Junior Cody Vaz is starting. I don’t know if he can be trusted only playing in one game this season. Utah plays great pass D, and I think that they will be able to stop the publicly overrated Beavers. Plus numbers fire says that Utah’s a 64% favorite to cover. Utah +10 for 2 Units.
Kansas @ Oklahoma: 67% of public is on Oklahoma -35, yet the line hasn’t moved. No other explanation is needed. Kansas +35 for 1 UNIT.
Rutgers @ Temple: 68% of public is on Rutgers, yet the line has moved 1.5 points in favor of Temple. Clearly the old case of a overrated undefeated team. Temple +4 for 2 UNITS,
Texas Tech @ TCU: Texas Tech upset a highly publicized WV team last week. Therefore the public overrates them this week. 63% of public is currently on TTU, but TCU is still a great team, and they have won 15 of their last 16 at home. TCU is also coming off pounding a very good Baylor team away from home. Another overrated public team to bet against this week. TCU +1.5 for 4 UNITS.
VT @ Clemson: Numbers fire says that VT is 69% favorite getting 7.5 points. Clemson’s best win this year is at home against a 4-3 Ball State team. Logan Thomas is still one of the elite QB’s in CFB, and should be motivated to try and start climbing up the draft boards, so I doubt VT will just lie down. VT has also played @NC and at home against undefeated Cincinnati. They also are coming off a pounding of a solid Duke team, in which they scored 41 straight points to come back and win. Prior to Duke’s loss to VT, had only lost @ Stanford. I think VT is extremely publicly underrated, and I think they will beat Clemson this week straight up. VT +7.5 FOR 4 UNITS.
FSU @ Miami (FL); Miami has been great at home, and is very underrated by the public. FSU can't play on the road, and especially in a rivalry game, I see no way that FSU will win by 25+. FSU has no D. MIAMI +22 5 UNITS
FSU @ Miami (FL); Miami has been great at home, and is very underrated by the public. FSU can't play on the road, and especially in a rivalry game, I see no way that FSU will win by 25+. FSU has no D. MIAMI +22 5 UNITS
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Oregon @ ASU Pick/Preview
If you read my College Football Power Rankings, you would know I hate Oregon. I truly think they will lose tonight @ ASU. ASU has covered every game this year, compared to Oregon who are only 50%. A crazy amount, 62% of the public is on Oregon tonight, yet the line has actually gone down in ASU's favor, that shows the bookies are extremely confident ASU will cover. In fact, Numbers Fire says that ASU should be a 67% favorite to cover the spread. Remember, the spread is supposed to be around 50/50. ASU was 5-2 last year at home, playing a very difficult schedule, compared to Oregon who only went on the road 4 times last season. ASU is a top 25 team, who has blown every team (other than Mizzu) out this season. This is an easy pick, whenever the public is extremely on a team, yet the line moves the other way, it shows the bookies are extremely confident in the other team. ASU +9.5 for 3 units.
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BCS BS
I have never understood the BCS standings. They always seem bias, and just generally bad.
Lets take a look at the recent standings, as I create the real CFB Power Rankings.
1. Alabama: Actually according to the computers this is the 3rd best
team in the country, but we at SGS know better. Alabama is without a
doubt the best team in the country, so much so, that I don't even have
to explain.
2. Florida: Yes, I agree that they should be number 2, but anyone with any football sense knows that they are not the second best football team in the country. They looked pretty weak against an offensive orientated A&M team, and I don't think they will score enough to stay with high-powered offenses. They have won too many close games for my liking. Close wins are more of a product of luck than skill.
3. Kansas State (BCS 4): I love teams that go on the road, and win big games. It is a daunting task to head to Oklahoma and win against the Sooners, that I think it is the best win this season. All other upsets gave been at home, but KSU was able to pull it off on the road. Very impressive, and worthy of the 3 spot for me.
4. Notre Dame (BCS 5): Despite playing some big games at home, they still have a huge road win against a very good MSU team. They also have played a very tough schedule so far, playing against 3 ranked opponents. If they can head to Oklahoma, and knock off the Sooners in 2 weeks, I think they will take over the #2 spot.
5. Oregon State (BCS 8): I think USA Today is way off on this team, ranking them #11. They beat 3 solid, top 40 teams on the road this year, BYU, Arizona, and UCLA. They also knocked off a top 25 Wisconsin team at home. Their wins are not extremely dominant score wise, but still a W is still a W nonetheless.
6. LSU (BCS 6): The computers are not impressed with LSU, but I am. They will be overlooked, but they did play Florida very close...On the road, and I believe those two teams are equal in talent, meaning home field could have decided the game. They also have a very good win at home against a top 10 team in SC. They have looked bad as far as their expectations, but they still are a very nice looking team.
7. Oregon (BCS 3): As stated earlier, I respect teams that play good teams on the road. Oregon hasn't even played good teams at home. Their best win is against top 40 Washington at home. Granted, they have blown out everyone in their path, but they still haven't had anyone in their path. They have played a Boise St schedule so far, and I feel they should be treating them like we treated BSU. A win @ USC would definitely change my mind.
8. South Carolina (BCS 7): They have a marquee win against top 10 Georgia, granted at home, I think they should hardly be penalized for losing by 2 @ LSU, one of the hardest places to play in the country. If they can win at Florida, I think they should jump over LSU. Their wins are decreasing in value however; Vandy and Mizzu have not lived up to expectations.
9. USC (BCS 10): I respect that they lost @ Stanford, and have played a solid amount of road games so far. They have not looked great as far as their wins however, and I doubt they will finish the season in the top 10. Big games against Oregon and ND later in the year give them title hopes.
10. FSU (BCS 14): If they get 2 more points against NC State, a team
that was 3/4 on 4th down conversions, they are a top 5 team. They have
only lost one game, and that game was on the road against a top 40 team.
They should not go from top 5 to 14 just because of a one-point loss on
the road. They have killed everyone else they have played, and I think
that should carry some weight.
11. West Virgina (BCS 13): They have a tough win against a top 40 team at home against Baylor, and won on the road against a top 25 team in Texas. They lost a tough game, after playing 2 solid teams. Granted they got blown out, but Texas Tech is a top 25 team, and very hard to play against on the road. I boost them for a tough schedule played so far.
12. Oklahoma (BCS 9): Came back strong after losing at home against a top 5 KSU team. They have come back to beat Texas Tech away by 21. They also pounded a solid Texas team by 40 at home. Forgive and forget for the KSU home loss? No, but I think they look like a top 5 team in their past 2 games, but you just can't lose at home as a top 10 team.
13. Texas A&M (BCS 18): Lost at home against Florida by 3. They also
have played a good amount of road games, including edging LT by 2 on
the road. They still have not played very many quality teams this year,
but I think they are BCS underrated. Road wins, and almost knocking off
#2 is a recipe for success.
14. Georgia (BCS 11): It would be one thing if they lost a close game, but they got blown out 48-3 @ SC. South Carolina is very good, especially at home, but you can't lose by 45 against anyone as a elite team.
15. Ohio State (NR because of Sanctions) Undefeated, and have won @ MSU, and vs. Nebraska. They have yet to lose, and are certainly a second tier team.
16. Louisville (BCS 16): They have looked weak of late, but they are still undefeated. They have also played 3 straight games on the road, which gives them the edge over other weak schedule, undefeated teams.
17. Clemson (BCS 19): Very underrated, their only loss this year is on the road @ FSU, other than that game, they have looked extremely dominate. Their only problem is they are going to lack high quality wins this year, even if they go undefeated the rest of the way.
18. Mississippi State (BCS 12): Weak schedule so far, and they have only played 2 road games, @ 1 win Kentucky, and @ Troy, where they only won by 6. If they win at Bama, they could move straight into the top 3. Undefeated is still nice enough for top 20.... for now.
19. Rutgers (BCS 15): See Mississippi St, but in a weaker conference.
20. Stanford (BCS 20): Tough loss in OT @ Notre Dame, big win is obviously @
home against USC. I think the loss @ Washington is understandable as a let off game. Their really only true loss was against ND. I feel they are very underrated even at 18, but they still are the highest ranked 2-loss team.
21. Cincinnati (BCS 21): Bad schedule, all games at home, but atleast they have been blowing out their opponents.
22. Texas Tech (BCS 17): Good win @ Iowa State, and winning at home against WV, but losing against a demoralized Oklahoma team at home brings them significantly down. They also have yet to play enough road games for me to warrant a higher ranking from me.
23. Ohio (NR): Undefeated is undefeated. Solid win @ PSU gives them enough of a quality win to be in the top 25.
24. Michigan (NR): 2 losses on the hardest schedule around. Not too bad, but they have lacked quality wins. It’s so hard to play Bama, and @ ND, that I think they deserve a top 25 rating. Good wins @ Purdue, and blowing out rivals Illinois.
25. Wisconsin (NR): 2 losses @ Oregon ST. and @ Nebraska. Won @ Purdue and vs. Utah ST. Certainly get some respect for playing a hard schedule, and losing some close games on the road makes me think they are worthy of a top twenty-five rating. 2-field goals away from the top
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NCAA Week 7 PICKS
The Pick: Texas +3.5 for 3 Units
South Carolina @ LSU -3: SC heads to Louisiana to take on LSU Tigers. LSU is coming off a rough loss against a solid Florida team. The Tigers however look awful. They only could put up 6 points, which magnified their lack of a passing attack. It will only get worse against a D that just gave up 7 points to a top 5 offense. SC was riding high before their QB was kicked out, and their work horse RB Marcus Lattimore suffered a season-ending injury last year. I think LSU will be overrated, despite their recent loss. People will think this will be a rebound game for the Tigers. What rebound? They have played horrible in their last 3 games, and could only beat Towson by 16 at home. LSU is flatout overrated, but I think this could be a possible trap, because LSU has won their last 24 at home. Oh and the O/U is a no play, U is just to obvious. SC is 5-1 vs. spread, they are the play. SC +3 for 2 UNITS.
Illinois vs. Michigan -25: Michigan will win this game, but it'll be tough for them to cover an enormous 25 point spread. If the Illini can put up 10-17 points, they should cover. The Pick: Illinois +25 for 2 Units
Louisiana Tech VS.. Texas AM: Calling it, this will be the best game of the week. LA Tech is currently 3rd in the NCAA in total points with 53 a game. They are also 109th in total D. Texas AM is 8th in points, and #14th in D. La Tech has yet to score less than 56 at home, compared to Texas AM who killed SMU 48-3 on the road. Both these teams are not typically known has dominate offensive teams, and that's why I don't think over is a trap. Too many people just read the names, and think they know best. This could replicate Baylor WV, their offenses are that good. You always have to go over the largest over of the week. O 79 for 2 Units.
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WV @ Texas Tech +3.5: The pick is Tech. 72% of public is on WV, yet the line has hardly moved .5 points. BOOKIES AREN'T STUPID. WV has had 2 extremely profiled CLOSE wins. If they blew out Texas, they would be getting less coverage. Tech is coming off a bad loss against Oklahoma, but a little known fact is Tech is 7-1 in games after losses in the past few seasons. WV has just won 2 huge games, and Tech will be overlooked by an inexperienced WV group. 72% is insane, plus I think the stats point to Tech too. TECH + 3.5 FOR 4UNITS
KSU @ ISU: LOOK AT THE WEATHER REPORT. 80% chance of precipitation right now. That certainly won't hurt scrambling QB Colin Klein of KSU. Rain helps the O, because it is harder to react on a slippery surface. If a CB trips, it's 6, while if a WR trips its just 2nd down. KSU is #9 on the ground, they should have a field day on a wet field; ISU D is good, and would not be overlooked on a clean surface. ISU just doesn't have burners, and that will hurt them. KSU -6 FOR 1 UNIT.
Florida @ Vandy: I love me some under.Vandy has played some tough road games this year: Georgia, Mizzu, and Northwestern. At home, they managed to hold South Carolina to 17 points.They are 102 in offense, and a solid 32 in D (automatically in top 50 if you play in SEC). Florida is 6th in D, and 69th in O. They have only gone over 41 one time this year, and Vandy has only gone over 2 times (once was when they beat Presbyterian 58-0). I don't understand the line, it just doesn't add up, the public isn't even on it too much. U 41.5 FOR 3 UNITS.
Stanford @ ND: No rhyme or reason here. I think the public always overrates ND, but Stanford will probably be overrated too. I like Stanford just cause public is leaning toward ND. But hardly. Stanford +7 FOR .5 UNIT.
Tennessee @ Miss St: Tennessee has the hardest schedule this year, and I think a tough close loss to Georgia will drain them. They got #3 and #1 next up, so Miss St will look like a cupcake. Unfortunately, Miss St. is also a scrappy team that is quietly public 5-0. Miss ST -3 FOR 1 UNIT.
Iowa @ MSU: MSU has lost 2 very close and hard fought games against top 25 opponents. Iowa is on the road for the first time this year, they went 1-4 last year.They are 3-2 with one of the easiest schedules around, all at home. MSU has (IMO) a top 5 D, and should hold a horrible Iowa attack to less than 10. MSU should win this one easy. They are the best 4-2 team around. They both love to run the rock, which should also lead to a EASY under play. U39 3 UNITS AND MSU -7.5 FOR 1 UNIT
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NCAAF Week 6 Picks/Betting Preview
Texas (-7) vs. West Virginia (+ 7)
Time for a dose of reality for Geno Smith and the West Virginia Mountaineers. Even though both teams are in the Big 12, Baylor is light years away from this 2012 Texas Longhorn team, and we think that it will reflect in West Virginia's performance Saturday. Yes, West Virginia's offense did have perhaps one of the greatest performances last Saturday, lead by Geno Smith's 8 Td's. However, what largely goes unnoticed, is that they also gave up 63 points to a unranked team in Baylor. In addition, the Longhorns give up only 21 yards a game, compared to West Virginia's previous opponent, Baylor, who gives up 40! It should be a rude awakening for the Mountaineers, as the Longhorns balanced attack, and experienced defense should give them the significant edge in this one. You might look at this line, and be scared that Texas's offense is not explosive enough to cover this -7 spread, but don't forget that these Longhorns are 9th in total offense, and have a 3 headed monster running attack that features former #1 highschool running back recruits, Jonathan Gray and Malcolm Brown, to go along with the explosive Joe Bergeron. The Pick: Texas (-7) for 2 units
Michigan (-3) vs. Purdue (+3)
Trap! While Michigan hasn't had the best showing so far this season, they're not this bad. Michigan lost to an undefeated Notre Dame game by only 7 points, with turning the ball over 5 times! Had a couple of those errant passes not been picked off, we would be looking at a 3-1 Michigan team that would still be in contention for a BCS bowl. Purdue has started the year off impressively, but with inexperienced starter Caleb Turbish, you can't trust their offense to put numbers up on the board. Meanwhile for Michigan, their quarterback Denard Robinson has had strong games against average defenses throughout his career, however has also had many horrendous performances when put in front of an elite defense. Fortunately for him, this Purdue defense is not elite, and is nothing compared to Alabama's or Notre Dame's, so he should be able to pick apart their secondary for big plays on more than one occasion. The Pick: Michigan -3 for 2 units.
South Carolina (-1.5) vs. Georgia (+1.5)
Aaron Murray and the Georgia Bulldogs will head down to South Carolina to take on the Gamecocks. The only clear advantage that South Carolina has in this game is their defense. One would think that Marcus Lattimore and the Gamecocks would have the advantage in running the football, however Lattimore has looked average this year, and their 172 rushing yards per game is far less than Georgia's 250 per game that has mainly come from freshman stud Todd Gurley who is averaging 8 yards a carry so far. Meanwhile, Georgia quarterback Aaron Murray is looking better than ever, and is generating some heisman talks, as he is currently boasting a career high 68.2 completion percentage and 183.5 QB rating. Georgia is the Gamecock's first real test, and look for the Bulldogs to put up bigger numbers than most expect, and come away with victory against a South Carolina team that hasn't looked so impressive at times this year. The Pick: Georgia +1.5 for 3 units.
Ohio St. (-3) vs. Nebraska (+3)
Nebraska will be on the road on this one, taking on the undefeated Ohio State Buckeyes. Nebraska themselves, are 4-1, with their only loss coming against UCLA, in a game where they didn't have their starting running back Rex Burkhead. Nebraska's defense is a tough one, especially against the run, and will force Braxton Miller out of his comfort zone and make him pass the ball. That's where things will get tough for the Buckeyes offense, as they rank outside of the top 100 in total pass offense. Meanwhile, on the offensive side of the ball, Nebraska has been crisp and efficient lead by a much improved Taylor Martinez, and a tough workhorse in Rex Burkhead. If they can take care of the ball, and limit Braxton Millers big plays, Nebraska has the chance to pull of the upset in Columbus. The Pick: Nebraska (+3) for 1 unit
LSU (-2.5) vs. Florida (+2.5)
This game will be held in Gainesville, and it would be blasphemous to bet against Gators in this one. The Tigers of LSU have looked pedestrian in their last two games, as they were tested by both Auburn and a sub-par Towson team. Florida's offense looked sharp in their win over Tennessee, and quarterback Jeff Driskel has had a nice 2012 campaign so far. At running back, they have speedster Mike Gillislee, who is averaging nearly 6 yards per carry this year. Meanwhile, LSU has an elite defense that is giving up a little over 12 points a game, however they also have an offense that ranks only 95th in passing, and that can also be atrocious at times. With this game almost certain to be low-scoring, each point is important, so take Florida and points in this one. The Pick: Florida +2.5 for 1 unit.
UTEP (-2.5) vs. SMU +2.5
These teams have both had a horrible start to this season, with SMU being 1-3, and UTEP 1-4. While UTEP has had some decent performances in these losses, it isn't convincing enough to have them as the 2.5 point favorites against a team that nearly knocked off TCU last week. Take the points and SMU. The Pick: SMU +2.5 for 1 unit
Oklahoma (-4) vs. Texas Tech (+4)
The Sooners are coming off a tough loss against an underrated Kansas St. team, while the Red Raiders proved that they are legit, after last week's victory over Iowa St. The Red Raiders offense led by senior quarterback Seth Doege, have been extremely efficient thus far, and are 7th in passing offense and 11th in total offense. Doege currently boasts a whopping 72 completeion percentage and has 15 TD's and only 3 interceptions to go along with it. Meanwhile, on defense, the Red Raiders are stifling opponents with their defense that ranks 5th overall. Oklahoma hasn't looked nearly as impressive, with QB Landry Jones off to a pedestrian start. We like Texas Tech and points in this one. The Pick: Texas Tech (+4) for 1 unit.
Missouri (-7) vs. Vanderbilt (+7)
Missouri will take on Vanderbilt on Saturday night at home. Missouri is nothing special, as they don't rank inside the top 50 in any major categories. Vanderbilt's defense meanwhile, ranks 46th and is giving up only 22 points a game despite having to play two tough SEC offenses in Georgia and South Carolina. Missouri's offense has not scored more than 24 points in their last 4 games, so -7 sounds like a little too much on the spread. The Pick: Vanderbilt +7 for 1 unit
Clemson (-10.5) vs. Georgia Tech (10.5)
Clemson's offense led by quarterback Tajh Boyd, is an explosive one, and has scored 40+ points in 4 of their 5 games this season. They should have no trouble covering the spread in this one against a struggling 2-3 Georgia Tech team, that is coming off a 21 point loss to Middle Tennessee. The Pick: Clemson -10.5 for 1 unit.
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Wild Weekend in College Football
It was a chaotic Saturday from noon till midnight. SportsCenter's Top 10 plays should be renamed to the top 50 plays, as Geno Smith and the Mountaineers could account for 10 on their own. It was a day that was rampant with touchdowns, and even the two SEC teams, Tennessee and Georgia got in a shootout, which resulted in a victory for the Bulldogs. Many other games went right down to the wire including Texas vs. Oklahoma St., where Texas scored a late touchdown, and also Nebraska vs. Wisconsin, where Nebraska came from 2 touchdowns behind to win. Let's hope the NFL can bring the same kind of excitement today.
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College Football Week 5 Betting Preview/Game Predictions
Thursday 9:00 P.M Stanford (8) vs. Washington
I have to take Stanford here after a impressive win over a talented
USC squad. Washington has some young talent but could not put up much of
a fight against LSU. They have some potential in a couple years. We
think they'll be able to cover the spread. The Spread Pick: Stanford -7
for 3 UNITS
Saturday 12:00 P.M Baylor (25) vs. West Virginia (9)
Baylor has done a good job recruiting after Robert Griffin III has
left but had some problems against upset minded Louisiana Monroe and
barely got the W. The Mountaineers and Heisman Candidate Geno Smith have
a high powered offense that should beat Baylor pretty easily. The
Spread Pick: WVU -11 for 3 UNITS
Saturday 3:30 P.M Georgia (5) vs. Tennessee
Georgia has looked might impressive this year, with Aaron Murray
finally living up to expectations. But the Volunteers haven't been to
shabby themselves, a lone loss coming from a strong Florida team. This
will surely be a shoot out but I like Tyler Bray to out throw Murray for
an upset win. The Spread Pick: Tennessee +14 for 5 UNITS
Saturday 3:30 P.M Ohio State (16) vs. Michigan State (20)
Braxton Miller has turned out to be a perfect fit for the Urban
Meyer offense and just give him a little room, and he is gone. Michigan
State has not shown up to play this year, losing to Notre Dame and
struggling against Eastern Michigan, which should be an easy win. Miller
should put up some Heisman like numbers on the ground and through the
air and the Buckeyes should beat out the Spartans, despite being the 2
point underdogs. The Spread Pick: OSU +2 for 5 UNITS
Saturday 7:50 P.M Texas (12) vs. Oklahoma State
O.K State hasn't lost the offensive output since Brandon Weeden
left, they are averaging 62 points a game. The problem is on the other
side of the ball where they have given up 27 points a game and they will
have some problems with David Ash and Jackson Shipley of the Longhorns.
This will be a high scoring affair and Texas will come out victorious,
and cover the -1 spread. The Spread Pick: Texas -1 for 7 UNITS
Saturday 8:00 P.M Nebraska (22) vs. Wisconsin
Both of these teams have had some troubles against lesser opponents,
Wisconsin losing to Oregon State, and Nebraska losing to UCLA. However,
people forget that Nebraska was missing several key players in that
loss. Although Montee Ball of the Badgers is a versatile and skilled
runner, it has shown that the loss of Russel Wilson has really hurt,
because Ball is unable to carry his team. The other star running back in
this matchup is Rex Burkhead who returned from a sprained left knee
last week against Idaho State ran for 119 yards and two touchdowns. When
healthy, Nebraska can compete with the best of them. This should be a
ground and pound game that Nebraska wins. Nebraska is currently the 12
point favorites. We like them by 2 touchdowns. The Spread Pick: Nebraska
-12 for 4 UNITS
Saturday 10:00 P.M Oregon State (18) vs. Arizona
Oregon State has started out the season strong with two solid wins
over ranked opponents when Arizona has dropped out of the rankings. If
the Beaver's defense can hold up against a stagnant Wildcats offense,
then the win should go to Oregon State. The Spread Pick: Oregon St. +3
for 2UNITS
Saturday 10:30 P.M Oregon (2) vs. Washington State
The Ducks continue to have a constant flow of speedy wide receivers
and running backs who spread the field constantly. De'Anthony Thomas
will gash the Cougars defense all night and the Ducks should coast to
victory to improve their undefeated record. After crushing Arizona by
49, they should cover the spread 31 point spread against a much worse
Washington St. team. The Spread Pick: Oregon -31 for 2 UNITS
Saturday 7:00 P.M TCU (15) vs. SMU
The Horned Frogs are entering this contest as the 16.5 point
favorites, however don't expect SMU to go down without a fight. Like all
bitter rivals in sports, SMU will certainly be amped up for this one.
Even though it doesn't hold any extra significance on a computer system,
you can bet that both teams will come out a little stronger in this
one. TCU's quarterback Casey Pachall has started the year off on a hot
note, as he is currently boasting 8 td's to only 1 interception.
Meanwhile, SMU's quarterback Garrett Gilbert hasn't had much to
celebrate, but this could be the breakout performance that proves that
he deserved his #2 QB ranking in the nation coming out of high school.
This one will be a dogfight, and in the end I see SMU pulling off a
shocker. The Spread Pick: SMU +17.5 for 4 UNITS
Saturday 12:21 P.M Texas A&M vs. Arkansas
It's been a tough year for the Razorbacks thus far, however this
game is a chance for them to get back on the right track. QB Tyler
Wilson is an elite talent, and should be 100% healthy by now. Texas
A&M are the 13.5 point favorites in this one, but this is because
Arkansas has yet to display their best football. Look for Tyler Wilson
to have a good game, and Arkansas to edge out Texas A&M. The
Spread Pick: Arkansas +13.5 for 3 UNITS
Texas Tech vs. Iowa St: Texas Tech has looked fantastic this year, and is off to a scorching 3-0 start, where they haven't been tested. We think they will cover the -1 spread against an overrated Texas Tech team. The Spread Pick: Texas Tech -1 for 3 UNITS
Texas Tech vs. Iowa St: Texas Tech has looked fantastic this year, and is off to a scorching 3-0 start, where they haven't been tested. We think they will cover the -1 spread against an overrated Texas Tech team. The Spread Pick: Texas Tech -1 for 3 UNITS
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