Current Record

RECORD: UP 33 UNITS and overall record of (67-53) 55.8%



Tuesday, October 16, 2012

Draft Street Road to 15K

This is a new column I am writing to show you that gambling is not luck, and almost anyone can be successful with the right money management. I am putting $15 in Draft Street, and I am going to plan to turn it in to 15K. Draft Street is a daily fantasy sports site, in which fantasy games are decided within the course of a week or even a day, rather than an entire season. This obviously allows a crazy profit to be made. I will give detailed analysis of players I have chosen, as well as strategies used to obtain the largest profit possible. If Draft Street sounds like something interesting to you, check out the link at the bottom of the page (won't let me put it up here.) Draft Street is also Legal in the USA, as it is considered a game of skill not luck. (WHY NOT POKKKKKEEEEERRRRRR!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)

Leagues joined: ($5 MLB Game, 3 person, Winner Gets $13.50)

-I like starting in small games like these. The most amount of skill is showed in the smallest groups. Rather than spending 33% of my bankroll on the same kind of game, only with 100 people, I am going to try and slowly build it up. These games are most important, because they set the basis for future. I will be forced to implement 2 extremely different strategies depending on the result of this game.

Budget 100K

P- Max Scherzer-Det-$18,010: This may sound extremely basic, but the Yankees have yet to score in the last 2 games (as of now) and Scherzer is coming off a great last start, in which he gave up 0 Runs 5.1 innings pitched, and 8 strike outs. However, in a scoring system that labels a K almost equal to a IP, I think that it is important to get a K based pitcher. Scherzer has a higher amount of K's than IP at home, and I think that makes him the play, compared to Kyle Lohse, who for a similar price, might go 2 more IP than Schezer, but I doubt unless Scherzer pitches less than 4 innings, Lohse will not be able to catch him because he typically pitches for contact. CC in comparison might put up numbers better than Max, but he will cost me 5% more of my budget, but for similar stats, I feel Schezer is the best available pick, mostly due to the large K/IP %.

RP- Jason Motte-STL-$3,906: I love Motte for this spot. Rather than taking another SP, I elected for a much cheaper elective in Motte. I like Motte mostly because he has yet to play in 3 days, meaning his arm should be ready to go, and should be pitching in any situation. If he can just even get a save, Motte will be getting about 4 points for 4% of my budget. That would nearly guarantee me a win if I can put up 100 points.  Although he doesn't have potential for a big game, he is the best value per percentage, as long as he doesn't put up a goose egg.

C-Gerald Laird-DET-5,671: You may ask yourself, who the hell is Gerald Laird, and why are you picking him while he against CC Sabathia. I'll tell you why, Gerald Laird has 24 AB against CC Sabathia, he has 10 hits, a double, as well as a HR. He also has earned 4 walks against CC, and CC only has a 4.02 ERA away from home. Laird is the clear play in a weak catcher category.

1B-Prince Fielder-DET-7,966: A great price for one of the elite hitters in the MLB. Fielder has a .337 average at home, as well as 18 HR, compared to 12 on the road. Fielder is also hitting .364 in his career against CC. Not to bad, especially for the great price, as well as the great splits.

2B-Ryan Theriot-SFG-7,557: Ryan is hitting 12-22 against Lohse in his career, with 2 doubles and 2 triples. He clearly has Lohse's number. He is also coming in after a solid 4 points on the 15th, and he hits better on the road. Good pick here, but kind of a high price to pay.

3B-Miguel Cabrera-DET-10,243: Miguel is the best hitter in the MLB, and hits 10 BA points better at home than away. Even though Miggy typically struggles against lefties, he is 10-26 against CC, and has 2 HR and 2 doubles. Miggy is the only viable option, and though the price is expensive, he should certainly put up some points no matter what.

SS-Brandon Crawford-SFG-6,012: He is the starter is SFG, Lohse is not a great pitcher, and all the other SS are struggling other than Kozma, but he costs a crazy 9,108. Crawford is the clear, easy play.

OF-Andy Dirks-DET-7,199: Hitting well of late, and he kills CC. Price is the main reason.

OF-Curtis Granderson-NYY-8,750: Might be strange to pick an opposing hitter, but Grandy is the only NYY that hits Max well, he is 4-12 with a HR. I feel that he is worth the cheep price to grab an elite hitter.

OF-Carlos Beltran-STL-12,871: Killing the ball of late, putting up 4.75,8.5 and 9.5 points in last 3 games, and has .389 average, and 4 extra base hits against Cain. He is pricey, but I have money to spend at this point, and he is that good.

U- Angel Pagan-SFG-10,573: At this point price doesn't matter. All I wanted was the hottest hitter right now. That is Angel Pagan. Bad price but I feel I have the best at every position, so I my as well pick someone who is maybe a little overpriced, but who has put up huge numbers as of late.

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