College Football Week 8 Picks

Alabama @ Tennessee: 65% of public are currently on Bama right now, yet the line has yet to move. That obviously raises a red flag, but as Oregon proved Thursday, sometimes red flags mean shit (ASU SUCKS). I have a hard time betting against Bama this season, because they are just too good. Instead, I will opt for the over. Tennessee has questionable the worst D in the SEC, and have given up 37,51,41 in their 3 games in the SEC so far. The good news is they have scored 31,44,20 in those respective games. Bama meanwhile has scored 42,33,52 in their 3 SEC games so far. Bama has only given up 24 points in the SEC….But that was against Arkansas without Tyler Wilson, an average Ole Miss team, and an offensively challenged Mizzu team. This time, they'll have to do it against Tennessee's star QB Tyler Bray. Tennessee has yet to have a game go under 50 so far this year, and I don’t think they will buck the trend this week. O 50.5 for 2 UNITS.

SC @ Florida: Sorry, but I am unable to find a great pick in this one. They both play very similar styles of football, and they both are very well coached. SC hasn’t lost 2 games in a row since 2009, but with Lattimore possibly missing, I think a small edge goes to Florida. SC’s line I also think will struggle against a tough Florida pass rush. Florida -3.5 for 1 UNIT.

Kansas St @ West Virginia: U is the play here. People forget that WV actually defends the run very well, in their last 3 games, WV has given up 49,45,and 63 points, yet they have yet to give up more than 175 rushing yards in those games. KSU is 119^th in the country in passing, and clearly will not be able to put up 500 yards passing, like the last 3 QB have been able to put up on WV. I am looking for a score similar to when KSU went to Oklahoma, and won 24-19. This should be an easy under 72, no way KSU runs for over 500 yards to put this game around 72.  U 72 for 3 UNITS,.

LSU @ Texas A&M: 62% of public is on LSU. LSU although can’t play on the road, as showed by their close 12-10 win @ Auburn, and their 6-14 loss @ Florida. A&M is battle tested, and has played 4 games on the road already. They also lost by 3 at home against Florida early this year, in a game they defiantly should have won. I think A&M is going very quietly under the radar right now, but they have possible the best offense in CFB. The public is too high on LSU to even consider taking them right now, wining at home against SC doesn’t make them the best team around. Texas A&M +3.5 for 2 UNITS.

Utah @ Oregon St: Oregon St. is currently undefeated, and as a result, the public will overrate them. 65% of bettors are currently on Oregon St. Utah, despite their 2-4 record, are actually a top 40 team in my opinion. They lost to USC at home by 10, almost won @ UCLA, beat a good BYU team at home, and lost @ Utah St in OT. They have covered the 10-point spread in every game this year, except at ASU. Oregon St also lives and dies by the pass, they are 8^th in the nation in passing, but a little known fact is that Sean Mannion, their starting QB for  4 games is injured. That means that Junior Cody Vaz is starting. I don’t know if he can be trusted only playing in one game this season. Utah plays great pass D, and I think that they will be able to stop the publicly overrated Beavers. Plus numbers fire says that Utah’s a 64% favorite to cover. Utah +10 for 2 Units.

Kansas @ Oklahoma: 67% of public is on Oklahoma -35, yet the line hasn’t moved. No other explanation is needed. Kansas +35 for 1 UNIT.

Rutgers @ Temple: 68% of public is on Rutgers, yet the line has moved 1.5 points in favor of Temple. Clearly the old case of a overrated undefeated team. Temple +4 for 2 UNITS,

Texas Tech @ TCU: Texas Tech upset a highly publicized WV team last week. Therefore the public overrates them this week. 63% of public is currently on TTU, but TCU is still a great team, and they have won 15 of their last 16 at home. TCU is also coming off pounding a very good Baylor team away from home. Another overrated public team to bet against this week. TCU +1.5 for 4 UNITS.

VT @ Clemson: Numbers fire says that VT is 69% favorite getting 7.5 points. Clemson’s best win this year is at home against a 4-3 Ball State team. Logan Thomas is still one of the elite QB’s in CFB, and should be motivated to try and start climbing up the draft boards, so I doubt VT will just lie down. VT has also played @NC and at home against undefeated Cincinnati. They also are coming off a pounding of a solid Duke team, in which they scored 41 straight points to come back and win. Prior to Duke’s loss to VT, had only lost @ Stanford. I think VT is extremely publicly underrated, and I think they will beat Clemson this week straight up. VT +7.5 FOR 4 UNITS.

FSU @ Miami (FL); Miami has been great at home, and is very underrated by the public. FSU can't play on the road, and especially in a rivalry game, I see no way that FSU will win by 25+. FSU has no D. MIAMI +22 5 UNITS