Anderson Silva (-1065) vs. Stephan Bonnar (+781)
Bonnar is getting great value, and for anyone that reads this, you must jump on this line while you can. Anderson Silva (32-4) comes in as the huge favorite vs. Stephan Bonnar (15-7), and no one is really giving Bonnar a chance. While Silva might be the best fighter in the world, there's something about this matchup that makes me uneasy about his chances to win. Bonnar is the bigger and stronger fighter and has a 2 inch height advantage to go along with a 2.5 reach advantage. Another thing that you should be cognizant of, is the fact that, in his 22 professional fights, Bonnar has never been knocked out or submitted by any of his opponents, which include aplethura of stars like Lyoto Machida, Forrest Griffin, Rashad Evans, and Jon Jones. Anderson's not a great wrestler, so Bonnar is going to try to use his power to get Silva to the ground, and avoid Silva's vicious standup. Anytime your getting huge odds, on what could likely be a decision, you have to take them. The Pick: Stephan Bonnar (+781) 2 Units to get 15.5 Units
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (-302) vs. Dave Herman (+266)
This line is way too favorable for Nogueira. Dave Herman is a young rising star, and is looking to shake off a 2 match losing streak tonight against Nogueira. Both men's strength is wrestling, with Nogueira having the technical advantage in both grappling and stand-up, while Herman takes the advantage in the strength department. Nogueira is going to have a tough time taking the much stronger Herman down, and I think as a result, Nogueira will be on his back a lot in this fight.
The Pick: Dave Herman (+266) 4 Units to get 10.5 Units.
Glover Teixeira (-394) vs. Fabio Maldonado (+341)
Maldonada is one of the greatest boxers in the MMA, and has lightning fast hands. However, he is very inexperienced at wrestling, which happens to be Glover's strong suit. While I think Glover will win, with Maldonado's hands, this one is too risky to take Glover. The Pick: Glover (no units)
Erik Silva (-140) vs. Jon Fitch (+127)
Silva is fast, and has deceiving power to go along with good submissions, however Fitch is too strong and will out-wrestle Silva in this one. Silva will have a tough time staying off his back, so we'll take Fitch in most likely a decision. The Pick: Jon Fitch (+127) 4 units to get 5 Units.
Phil Davis (-369) vs. Wagner Prado (+321)
Prado has yet to face an opponent on the same level as Davis, and while Prado has dangerous striking, he won't be able to defend against Davis's takedowns. Davis will dominate on the ground and pick up a victory. The Pick: Phil Davis 5.5 Units to GET 1.5 Units
Demian Maia (-137) vs. Rick Story (+124)
If Rick Story can keep this fight away from the ground for the most part, I think he'll take it. He's a grinder and I don't think we've seen enough from Maia to take him in this fight. Maia is a supreme grappler, but I think Story will grind him out for the win. The Pick: Rick Story 4 units to get 5 Units
Diego Brandao (-181) vs. Joey Gambino (+282)
Gambino is a finisher, and in 10 fights, he's only been in a decision once. Meanwhile Brandao brings his pedestrian 14-8 record to this fight. Gambino's got a height advantage and a 6 inch reach advantage over Branao as well. Gambino's a warrior, and he should be able to win this one.
The Pick: Joey Gambino 3 Units to get 8.5 Units
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