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Thursday, October 18, 2012
NLCS Giants @ Cardinals Game 4 Pick
Tim Lincecum is one of the most rapidly declining players in the MLB. Yet, the Cardinals have a .322 average against him, in their respective careers. Tim also has yet to make a start in around a month, and has a awful 6.43 ERA away from home. Adam Wainwright is on the mound for the Cards, bringing in a 3.70 ERA at home, but a 3.28 overall ERA in the second half of the season, but in his last start he gave u 6 runs in 2.1 innings against WSH, and the Giant's are hitting over .300 career against him, but did only give up a .231 average against them this year. I have no idea which version of these pitchers will show up, they are both extremely inconsistent. One stat that is pretty telling about Wainwright however, is in his last start that he couldn't make it out of the third inning was @ Washington, in his next start against the Mets, he gave up 5 runs in 5 innings pitched. This could be a useless stat, but I feel SFG is the right play +1.5 tonight, because I love the 1.5 runs for away teams. SFG +1.5 FOR 2 UNITS TO WIN 1 UNIT.
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