NCAA Week 7 PICKS

NCAA Week 7 PICKS

Texas @ Oklahoma -3.5    Texas is coming off a heartbreaking loss to Geno Smith and the Mountaineers, and since this squad isn't exactly spoiled to winning, you can expect them to still have the same hunger to win as they did before. Landry Jones has not turned out the way Sooners' fans have wanted him to be, as in 4 games he only has had 7 touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Longhorns offense has been putting up lots of points, and despite being without RB Malcolm Brown, they still have one of the best running games in the nation led by Jonathan Gray and Joe Bergeron. Look for the Longhorns to pound the ball down the Sooners' throats, and definitely cover this spread.   
The Pick: Texas +3.5 for 3 Units 
 
South Carolina @ LSU -3: SC heads to Louisiana to take on LSU Tigers. LSU is coming off a rough loss against a solid Florida team. The Tigers however look awful. They only could put up 6 points, which magnified their lack of a passing attack. It will only get worse against a D that just gave up 7 points to a top 5 offense. SC was riding high before their QB was kicked out, and their work horse RB Marcus Lattimore  suffered a season-ending injury last year. I think LSU will be overrated, despite their recent loss. People will think this will be a rebound game for the Tigers. What rebound? They have played horrible in their last 3 games, and could only beat Towson by 16 at home.  LSU is flatout overrated, but I think this could be a possible trap, because LSU has won their last 24 at home. Oh and the O/U is a no play, U is just to obvious. SC is 5-1 vs. spread, they are the play. SC +3 for 2 UNITS.

Illinois vs. Michigan -25: Michigan will win this game, but it'll be tough for them to cover an enormous 25 point spread. If the Illini can put up 10-17 points, they should cover.   The Pick: Illinois +25 for 2 Units

Louisiana Tech VS.. Texas AM: Calling it, this will be the best game of the week. LA Tech is currently 3rd in the NCAA in total points with 53 a game. They are also 109th in total D. Texas AM is 8th in points, and #14th in D. La Tech has yet to score less than 56 at home, compared to Texas AM who killed SMU 48-3 on the road. Both these teams are not typically known has dominate offensive teams, and that's why I don't think over is a trap. Too many people just read the names, and think they know best. This could replicate Baylor WV, their offenses are that good. You always have to go over the largest over of the week. O 79 for 2 Units.
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WV @ Texas Tech +3.5: The pick is Tech. 72% of public is on WV, yet the line has hardly moved .5 points. BOOKIES AREN'T STUPID. WV has had 2 extremely profiled CLOSE wins. If they blew out Texas, they would be getting less coverage. Tech is coming off a bad loss against Oklahoma, but a little known fact is Tech is 7-1 in games after losses in the past few seasons. WV has just won 2 huge games, and Tech will be overlooked by an inexperienced WV group. 72% is insane, plus I think the stats point to Tech too. TECH + 3.5 FOR  4UNITS

KSU @ ISU: LOOK AT THE WEATHER REPORT. 80% chance of precipitation right now. That certainly won't hurt scrambling QB Colin Klein of KSU. Rain helps the O, because it is harder to react on a slippery surface. If a CB trips, it's 6, while if a WR trips its just 2nd down. KSU is #9 on the ground, they should have a field day on a wet field; ISU D is good, and would not be overlooked on a clean surface. ISU just doesn't have burners, and that will hurt them. KSU -6 FOR 1 UNIT.

Florida @ Vandy: I love me some under.Vandy has played some tough road games this year: Georgia, Mizzu, and Northwestern. At home, they managed to hold South Carolina to 17 points.They are 102 in offense, and a solid 32 in D (automatically in top 50 if you play in SEC). Florida is 6th in D, and 69th in O. They have only gone over 41 one time this year, and Vandy has only gone over 2 times (once was when they beat Presbyterian 58-0). I don't understand the line, it just doesn't add up, the public isn't even on it too much. U 41.5 FOR 3 UNITS.

Stanford @ ND: No rhyme or reason here. I think the public always overrates ND, but Stanford will probably be overrated too. I like Stanford just cause public is leaning toward ND. But hardly. Stanford +7 FOR .5 UNIT.

Tennessee @ Miss St: Tennessee has the hardest schedule this year, and I think a tough close loss to Georgia will drain them. They got #3 and #1 next up, so Miss St will look like a cupcake. Unfortunately, Miss St. is also a scrappy team that is quietly public 5-0. Miss ST -3 FOR 1 UNIT.

Iowa @ MSU: MSU has lost 2 very close and hard fought games against top 25 opponents. Iowa is on the road for the first time this year, they went 1-4 last year.They are 3-2 with one of the easiest schedules around, all at home. MSU has (IMO) a top 5 D, and should hold a horrible Iowa attack to less than 10. MSU should win this one easy. They are the best 4-2 team around. They both love to run the rock, which should also lead to a EASY under play. U39 3 UNITS AND MSU -7.5 FOR 1 UNIT